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In the real universe is there such thing as a probability that isn't 100% or 0%?

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Probability is a mathematical construct and thus not part of the real world.

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>>8661415

Everything in the known universe is exactly 50/50.

It either happens, or it doesn't.

Everything in the known universe is exactly 50/50.

It either happens, or it doesn't.

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>>8661415

It seems everything should be 50/50, though an "effective" (subjective) odd could be more or less, but never 0% (or 100%, the complement).

However, if I flipped a coin a hundred times and it turned heads all times, I might give it better odds of flipping heads again. But then I doubt anyone has honestly flipped a hundred heads.

It seems everything should be 50/50, though an "effective" (subjective) odd could be more or less, but never 0% (or 100%, the complement).

However, if I flipped a coin a hundred times and it turned heads all times, I might give it better odds of flipping heads again. But then I doubt anyone has honestly flipped a hundred heads.

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>>8661415

According to the Copenhagen interpretation, yes. Most modern theories consider the universe to be truly non-deterministic, and there are some events that are truly random and probabilistic.

However, there ARE alternate theories, which posit that there may be some hidden variable which, if observed, would allow these events to be predicted with 100% certainty. If valid, the universe would indeed be deterministic.

So in short, we don't actually know.

According to the Copenhagen interpretation, yes. Most modern theories consider the universe to be truly non-deterministic, and there are some events that are truly random and probabilistic.

However, there ARE alternate theories, which posit that there may be some hidden variable which, if observed, would allow these events to be predicted with 100% certainty. If valid, the universe would indeed be deterministic.

So in short, we don't actually know.

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>So in short, we don't actually know.

So... it is a 50% chance for either? ;)

So... it is a 50% chance for either? ;)

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>>8661431

that's fucking retarded, consider suicide

that's fucking retarded, consider suicide

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If I toss a coin in the air there is a 100% chance it will not stay in the air.

There is a 0% chance OP will upload his mind to a computer and live on the internet.

Checkmate.

There is a 0% chance OP will upload his mind to a computer and live on the internet.

Checkmate.

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>>8661415

Which real world?

Which real world?

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>>8661489

what if suddenly a nuke blew up under your house and launched the coin into orbit? bet you'd feel pretty dumb then.

what if suddenly a nuke blew up under your house and launched the coin into orbit? bet you'd feel pretty dumb then.

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>>8661415

There is a 100% probability that there is or isn't a 100% probability in the real world, therefore there is.

There is a 100% probability that there is or isn't a 100% probability in the real world, therefore there is.

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>>8661415

Is it? Is anything 100 or 0 percent possible? Nothing is certain or uncertain...

Wow... Philosophy of Mathematics has fucked me.

Is it? Is anything 100 or 0 percent possible? Nothing is certain or uncertain...

Wow... Philosophy of Mathematics has fucked me.

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>>8661415

Yes.

Probability is a means of reasoning with uncertainty. It describes the chance of an as yet unobserved event occurring. You can't have a 0 or 100% probability as those values denote certainty, which is not attainable.

Also 0.999... does not equal 1

Yes.

Probability is a means of reasoning with uncertainty. It describes the chance of an as yet unobserved event occurring. You can't have a 0 or 100% probability as those values denote certainty, which is not attainable.

Also 0.999... does not equal 1